Sunday Independent poll suggests we're ready to give Fiscal Treaty a tentative yes vote

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Sunday Independent poll suggests we're ready to give Fiscal Treaty a tentative yes vote

27/05/2012 9:54 am

A poll published in today’s Sunday Independent suggests that the Irish people are ready to vote Yes in the fiscal treaty referendum on Thursday, albeit tentatively.

With Enda Kenny afraid to debate the matter on the national airwaves and Sinn Féin pressing hard for a no vote, potential floating voters are still unsure whether they will vote Yes or No in the referendum this Thursday, with a Sunday Independent poll suggesting that 12 per cent of those intending to vote ‘Yes’ still harbour serious doubts.

Voters as yet undecided about their decision will perhaps be further influenced by a piece written by Independent TD Shane Ross, a former advocate of the ‘Yes’ vote, in the paper, which urges voters to favour a ‘No’ vote.

"It (the referendum) should have been postponed,” Ross writes.

“We can still achieve postponement by defeating it. If we do, despite the Government's denials, there will be a second referendum in the autumn."

According to the Sunday Independent/Millward Brown Lansdowne opinion poll, including ‘Don’t Knows’, 42 per cent of people are in favour of the fiscal stability treaty, 28 per cent are against it and 27 per cent of those surveyed don’t know how they would vote.

Excluding ‘Don’t Knows’, it’s a 60-40 split in favour of the ‘Yes’ side, a similar outcome to a poll carried out by the paper earlier this month.

Interestingly, the poll also found that 54 per cent of people think that the referendum should be postponed, the same percentage of people that think that Ireland will have access to another bailout next year if the Treaty is rejected, while no doubt influenced by Richard Bruton’s gaffe on live radio recently, 58 per cent believe that there will be a second referendum if the Treaty is rejected.

So it’s looking like a ‘Yes’ vote on Thursday, even if indecision still seems to be rife amongst the Irish people. Have you made up your mind yet?


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Conor Heneghan
Conor Heneghan
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